Nürnberg 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2025

Nürnberg
2-0 HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.11
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1 EV+ ✓
22%
5.52
X/2
12%
6.79
X/X
8%
5.37
2/1
6%
23.55
2/2
15%
4.3
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · X/1 at 5.52 — our 22% vs market 14.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.32/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.6 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.78 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
392 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 2-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
09.09.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
06.06.2020 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
10.11.2019 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-5 HT 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
09.03.2018 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
30.09.2017 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-2 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2

Nürnberg 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
2-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.49 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 13
422 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 46
15 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg got the better of Arminia Bielefeld 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nürnberg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nürnberg had 57% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 43%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.49 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nürnberg and 1.83 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Nürnberg 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 42%, draw 25%, Arminia Bielefeld 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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