Kaiserslautern 4-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.34
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
12%
5.63
X/2
14%
6.42
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
13%
4.11
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +24%
1.74/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.37
+18% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
22.0 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.65 xG 1.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 Passes 377
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-3 HT 1-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
26.11.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
04.02.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-1 HT 1-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
23.07.2022 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-2 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
09.02.2018 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
09.09.2017 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-1 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
4-1
AWAY Holstein Kiel
3.74 xG 1.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
28 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
422 Passes 215
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
49 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern ran out comfortable winners over Holstein Kiel 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Kaiserslautern made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 63% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 37%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.74 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.67 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel?

Kaiserslautern 4-1 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 40%, draw 25%, Holstein Kiel 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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