Hoffenheim (K) 1-5 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
6.35
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
13%
-2.0pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
71%
Away Win
70%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.81/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.45
-15% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +77%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
9.3 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.58 xG 2.28
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 444
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2025 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) ALKB
23.09.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
27.01.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-5
AWAY Bayern München (K)
1.09 xG 1.94
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 7
250 Passes 635
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) swept aside Hoffenheim (K) 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 32% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 68%, shots finished 5-21, expected goals 1.09 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayern München (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hoffenheim (K) and 3.00 for Bayern München (K).

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-5 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 11%, draw 19%, Bayern München (K) 71%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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