Rosario Central 0-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Nov 2025

Rosario Central
0-1 HT 0-1
Estudiantes
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
6.36
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.51
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.79
X/2
12%
6.51
X/X
15%
3.33
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
8%
5.59
2/X
8%
15.4
Value flag · X/1 at 4.79 — our 24% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosario Central v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.38/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.05
+31% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.7 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 1.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 276
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.05.2025 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.11.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
06.07.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
16.09.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
08.05.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
09.10.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ

Rosario Central 0-1 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
0-1
AWAY Estudiantes
1.04 xG 0.97
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
396 Passes 182
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 8
42 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes squeezed past Rosario Central 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Rosario Central had 66% of the ball to Estudiantes's 34%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosario Central had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rosario Central and 0.83 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Estudiantes?

Rosario Central 0-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 44%, draw 29%, Estudiantes 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rosario Central) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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