Sydney (K) 1-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.05/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.52
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +82%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
14.4 Crosses 14.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.81 xG 1.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
252 Passes 295
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
02.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
17.01.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
07.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
1-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
0.42 xG 1.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
201 Passes 346
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) nicked a narrow win over Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Sydney (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 40% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 60%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.42 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Central Coast Mariners (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.25 for Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Sydney (K) 1-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 39%, draw 28%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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