Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Australia - W-League, 23 Nov 2025

Wellington Phoenix (K) LLDDD→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Melbourne Victory (K) WWLWW→
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:59
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
2%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PICK this match carries Gold / Silver / Bronze pattern picks — free account to see which outcomes.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) The Market 30%
Signal
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) The Market 51%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.22 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.81
1.49 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Strong Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.32 xG 1.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
03.03.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 5-3 HT 4-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1 - 0
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.24 xG 1.43
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
186 Passes 351
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Wellington Phoenix (K) found just enough to beat Melbourne Victory (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Victory (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 1.24 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Wellington Phoenix (K) against 2.33 for Melbourne Victory (K).

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Result & Final Score

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1 - 0 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 25%, draw 26%, Melbourne Victory (K) 49%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
23 Nov 2025
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