Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 Twente (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
7%
8.78
Away
73%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
2%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
2%
2/1
3%
2/2
48%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
5%
+15.3pp
7%
Draw
8%
-0.7pp
73%
Away Win
88%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.37/4.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.81/0.64
+90% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
208 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
8.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Twente (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 5.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
200 Passes 423
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-10 HT 0-6 Twente (K) Twente (K) HOLK1
12.10.2024 Twente (K) Twente (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
04.02.2024 Twente (K) Twente (K) 5-2 HT 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-3
AWAY Twente (K)
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 33
0 Shots on Target 14
3 Corners 14
183 Passes 465
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Crosses 47
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Twente (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) saw off Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 33% of the ball to Twente (K)'s 67%, shots finished 2-33.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Twente (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and 5.33 for Twente (K).

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Twente (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 Twente (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Twente (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 20%, draw 7%, Twente (K) 73%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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