PEC Zwolle (K) 7-1 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
63%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
2%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
63%
Away Win
64%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.43/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.40
-36% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +85%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.9 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Ajax (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
0.40 xG 2.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
248 Passes 411
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2025 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
29.09.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
23.03.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
10.11.2023 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
7-1
AWAY Ajax (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
218 Passes 221
64% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle (K) cruised past Ajax (K) 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ajax (K) at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle (K) had 50% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 50%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PEC Zwolle (K) and 3.75 for Ajax (K).

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle (K) vs Ajax (K)?

PEC Zwolle (K) 7-1 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle (K) 14%, draw 23%, Ajax (K) 63%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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