Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.66/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.99
-27% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Leopards SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
20.10.2024 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 HT 1-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
15.01.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 3-1 HT 1-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1-1
AWAY Leopards SC
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks and Leopards SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Leopards SC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Kariobangi Sharks had 44% of the ball to Leopards SC's 56%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.67 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards SC?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 26%, draw 30%, Leopards SC 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leopards SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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