ESMTK 1-2 Csepel TC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ESMTK EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Csepel TC EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.01/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +106%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ESMTK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Csepel TC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.08.2025 Csepel TC 2-0 ESMTK ESMTK MAC3
POST-MATCH ESMTK vs Csepel TC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Csepel TC nicked a narrow win over ESMTK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ESMTK at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of ESMTK vs Csepel TC?

ESMTK 1-2 Csepel TC in the Hungary - NB III on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ESMTK vs Csepel TC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ESMTK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split ESMTK 63%, draw 23%, Csepel TC 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ESMTK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ESMTK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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