Sabah 3-2 Pulau Pinang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.18
Over
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
43%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
44%
+8.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pulau Pinang EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.72/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.97
+24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
209 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pulau Pinang
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
25.10.2024 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 0-4 HT 0-3 Sabah Sabah MALES
12.05.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
30.07.2023 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah MALES
17.03.2023 Sabah Sabah 5-2 HT 2-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
07.10.2022 Sabah Sabah 4-1 HT 1-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
22.08.2021 Sabah Sabah 0-3 HT 0-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Pulau Pinang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah squeezed past Pulau Pinang 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabah as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sabah and 1.17 for Pulau Pinang.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Pulau Pinang?

Sabah 3-2 Pulau Pinang in the Malaysia - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Pulau Pinang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sabah 52%, draw 20%, Pulau Pinang 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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