Irapuato 1-1 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.30/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.88
-13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irapuato
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.11.2025 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia 0-0 HT 0-0 Irapuato Irapuato MEK2
19.10.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 0-3 HT 0-1 Monarcas Morelia Monarcas Morelia MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irapuato
1-1
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irapuato and Monarcas Morelia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Irapuato at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Irapuato had 64% of the ball to Monarcas Morelia's 36%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Irapuato and 1.50 for Monarcas Morelia.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs Monarcas Morelia?

Irapuato 1-1 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 45%, draw 25%, Monarcas Morelia 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Irapuato), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Irapuato) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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