Irapuato 0-3 Monarcas Morelia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+4.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irapuato EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Monarcas Morelia EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
2.33/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.04
+44% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irapuato
0-3
AWAY Monarcas Morelia
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Irapuato vs Monarcas Morelia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monarcas Morelia ran out comfortable winners over Irapuato 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Irapuato at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Irapuato had 65% of the ball to Monarcas Morelia's 35%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Irapuato vs Monarcas Morelia?

Irapuato 0-3 Monarcas Morelia in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irapuato vs Monarcas Morelia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irapuato win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Irapuato 54%, draw 22%, Monarcas Morelia 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Irapuato), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Irapuato) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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