CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -1%
1.76/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.35
-1% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.02.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
07.09.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-1 HT 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
3-2
AWAY CA La Paz
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero squeezed past CA La Paz 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CDS Tampico Madero had 44% of the ball to CA La Paz's 56%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 1.00 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 51%, draw 22%, CA La Paz 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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