CA La Paz 2-1 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.82
No
65%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.7pp
35%
BTTS Yes
51%
-15.7pp
65%
BTTS No
49%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.68/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.49
+25% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz nicked a narrow win over CDS Tampico Madero 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day CA La Paz made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?

CA La Paz 2-1 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated an CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 36%, draw 26%, CDS Tampico Madero 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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