Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.0
Over 2.5
61%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
46%
-7.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
54%
+7.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +32%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.21
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4 Corners 15
19.01.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 0-4 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
08.09.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
20.04.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
21.10.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
07.07.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-4 HT 1-3 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
08.01.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas beat CD Tapatio 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mineros de Zacatecas found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Tapatio led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 2.00 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs CD Tapatio?

Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 35%, draw 30%, CD Tapatio 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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