Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tepatitlán de Morelos v Celaya — Team-Based Signals
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-2
HT 0-1
Celaya
MEK2
1-0
HT 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-1
Celaya
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos edged past Celaya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Celaya at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.33 for Celaya.
What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya?
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Celaya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 21%, draw 26%, Celaya 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celaya) went the other way.