Atlante 3-0 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
10%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
68%
+4.7pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.2pp
10%
Away Win
13%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.35/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.84
+13% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Venados
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
03.02.2025 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
17.08.2024 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
28.02.2024 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
22.09.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.03.2023 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
23.09.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante ran out comfortable winners over Venados 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atlante and 0.50 for Venados.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Venados?

Atlante 3-0 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Atlante 73%, draw 17%, Venados 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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