Venados 1-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.9
Over 2.5
38%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-11.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
49%
+13.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
51%
-13.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.14/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.81
-5% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +57%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atlante
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
17.08.2024 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
28.02.2024 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
22.09.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.03.2023 Venados Venados 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
23.09.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.01.2022 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados and Atlante couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Venados and 0.83 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Venados vs Atlante?

Venados 1-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Venados 34%, draw 33%, Atlante 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/33/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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