Nasarawa United 3-0 El Kanemi Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.81
No
53%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.7pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
32%
+15.7pp
53%
BTTS No
68%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.48/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.67
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 3-4 HT 2-3 El Kanemi Warriors El Kanemi Warriors NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
3-0
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs El Kanemi Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United ran out comfortable winners over El Kanemi Warriors 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 54% of the ball to El Kanemi Warriors's 46%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Nasarawa United 3-0 El Kanemi Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 67%, draw 18%, El Kanemi Warriors 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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