Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

Esenler Erokspor
2 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Sivasspor
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.64
No
44%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.59
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.25
6+
6%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.05
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.12
X/2
11%
6.76
X/X
16%
5.03
2/1 ✗
3%
24.45
2/2
16%
4.68
2/X
5%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 3% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Esenler Erokspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Esenler Erokspor The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor The Market 34%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.64 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.12.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 5-2 HT 3-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
18.12.2019 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor TÜK
03.12.2019 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK

Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
2 - 1
AWAY Sivasspor
2.20 xG 1.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
309 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Esenler Erokspor squeezed past Sivasspor 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 50% of the ball to Sivasspor's 50%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.20 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 2.33 for Sivasspor.

Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor Result & Final Score

Esenler Erokspor 2 - 1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 45%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
23 Nov 2025
13:30 Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK Analysis →
13:30 Iğdır FK vs Erzurumspor FK Analysis →
16:00 Van Spor FK vs Keçiörengücü Analysis →