Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ümraniyespor v Bodrum FK — Team-Based Signals
Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Ümraniyespor 1-0 Bodrum FK — Actual Match Statistics
Ümraniyespor squeezed past Bodrum FK 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bodrum FK at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 47%.
On the day, Bodrum FK saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.53 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bodrum FK led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Ümraniyespor against 3.00 for Bodrum FK.
Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK Result & Final Score
Ümraniyespor 1 - 0 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 13%, draw 19%, Bodrum FK 68%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bodrum FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.