Ümraniyespor 1-2 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

Ümraniyespor
1-2 HT 0-1
Bodrum FK
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.9
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X EV+ ✗
16%
13.2
X/1
9%
5.59
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
8%
4.42
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.59
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.2 — our 16% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ümraniyespor v Bodrum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
1.42/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.16
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.5 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.39 xG 2.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
410 Passes 173
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
6 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 4-0 HT 3-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L

Ümraniyespor 1-2 Bodrum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1-2
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.63 xG 1.78
71% Ball Possession 29%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
446 Passes 156
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK edged past Ümraniyespor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bodrum FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 71% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 29%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.63 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK?

Ümraniyespor 1-2 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 33%, draw 30%, Bodrum FK 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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