Göztepe 4-0 Altay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

Göztepe
4-0 HT 1-0
Altay
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Göztepe vs Altay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
13%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.61
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.85
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
23%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
5.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.85 — our 25% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.24
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
8%
34.0
X/1
25%
3.32
X/2
5%
34.0
X/X
10%
11.55
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
6%
32.5
2/X
6%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.6pp
24%
Draw
12%
+12.3pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göztepe v Altay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Altay EU Bookmakers 8%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.91/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.88
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +18%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
19.0 Crosses 12.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Göztepe vs Altay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Altay
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
214 Passes 208
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Altay Altay 0-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
23.04.2023 Altay Altay 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
27.11.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-0 Altay Altay T1L
06.02.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-1 Altay Altay TSL
17.09.2021 Altay Altay 2-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
18.02.2015 Altay Altay 2-2 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe S2-K

Göztepe 4-0 Altay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
4-0
AWAY Altay
2.39 xG 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
305 Passes 139
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
40 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Altay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe cruised past Altay 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Göztepe had 63% of the ball to Altay's 37%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.39 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altay led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Göztepe and 1.17 for Altay.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Altay?

Göztepe 4-0 Altay in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Altay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 63%, draw 24%, Altay 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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