Keçiörengücü 1-2 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 37% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.36
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.87
X/2
13%
5.87
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.35
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.7pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.22/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.38
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.3 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Boluspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 335
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
19.03.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
08.10.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
12.02.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
16.09.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-3 HT 0-3 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
24.01.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-2
AWAY Boluspor
0.52 xG 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
254 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor nicked a narrow win over Keçiörengücü 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Boluspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 43% of the ball to Boluspor's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.52 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Boluspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.17 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Boluspor?

Keçiörengücü 1-2 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 37%, draw 29%, Boluspor 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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