Birkenhead United 1-4 Miramar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
34%
4-5
33%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-7.5pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkenhead United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Birkenhead United vs Miramar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar swept aside Birkenhead United 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Birkenhead United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Birkenhead United vs Miramar?

Birkenhead United 1-4 Miramar in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkenhead United vs Miramar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Birkenhead United 48%, draw 29%, Miramar 23%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birkenhead United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkenhead United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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