Coastal Spirit 1-0 Western Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
61%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
Over Pick
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
33%
4-5
33%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.7pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.4pp
61%
Away Win
60%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coastal Spirit EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Springs EU Bookmakers 64%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.67/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-53% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coastal Spirit
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Western Springs
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Western Springs 6-2 HT 1-1 Coastal Spirit YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coastal Spirit
1-0
AWAY Western Springs
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coastal Spirit vs Western Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coastal Spirit nicked a narrow win over Western Springs 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Western Springs carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coastal Spirit had 44% of the ball to Western Springs's 56%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Coastal Spirit vs Western Springs?

Coastal Spirit 1-0 Western Springs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coastal Spirit vs Western Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Coastal Spirit 23%, draw 16%, Western Springs 61%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Western Springs) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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