Inter 2-0 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Dec 2024

Inter
2-0 HT 0-0
Como
📅23/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
19.2
X/1
15%
3.61
X/2
6%
15.2
X/X
10%
6.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.1
2/2
9%
11.85
2/X
5%
19.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
2.14/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.56
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -33%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 77%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
24.5 Crosses 9.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Como
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.03.2003 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 2-0 Como Como İTA
03.11.2002 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-0
AWAY Como
1.63 xG 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
452 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter beat Como 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter had 63% of the ball to Como's 37%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.63 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Inter and 0.00 for Como.

What was the final score of Inter vs Como?

Inter 2-0 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Inter 55%, draw 24%, Como 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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