OFK Beograd 2-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / +5%
1.61/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.06
+126% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.0 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.77 xG 1.23
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
170 Passes 437
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 48
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-1 HT 0-1 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
2-2
AWAY Backa Topola
0.96 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
371 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd and Backa Topola couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 56% of the ball to Backa Topola's 44%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.85.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Backa Topola?

OFK Beograd 2-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 36%, draw 28%, Backa Topola 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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