Amed SK 2-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Dec 2024

Amed SK
2-0 HT 2-0
Ümraniyespor
📅23/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 32% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.24
X/2
7%
8.22
X/X
19%
4.72
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
13%
6.36
2/X
5%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amed SK v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.15/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.52
-15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.4 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Amed SK 2-0 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
2-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.38 xG 0.37
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
368 Passes 388
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 9
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK saw off Ümraniyespor 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Amed SK had 49% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 51%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.38 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor?

Amed SK 2-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 44%, draw 30%, Ümraniyespor 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
23 Dec 2024
20:00 Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor Analysis →