Gençlerbirliği 0-2 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Dec 2024

Gençlerbirliği
0-2 HT 0-1
Adanaspor
📅23/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 34% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.8
X/1
18%
3.49
X/2
7%
13.0
X/X
9%
5.4
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
11.3
2/X
6%
19.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gençlerbirliği v Adanaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.70/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.69
-42% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
23.7 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
10.11.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
24.10.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
17.01.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-3 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.08.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
17.03.2019 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L

Gençlerbirliği 0-2 Adanaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0-2
AWAY Adanaspor
0.86 xG 1.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
344 Passes 143
79% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor beat Gençlerbirliği 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Gençlerbirliği carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 65% of the ball to Adanaspor's 35%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 0.86 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 1.00 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 0-2 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 56%, draw 24%, Adanaspor 21%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
23 Dec 2024
20:00 Amed SK vs Ümraniyespor Analysis →