Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.6pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
1.99/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.62
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.9 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.72
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
03.09.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.09.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.04.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.11.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
29.02.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-3
AWAY Adana Demirspor
2.27 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
332 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana Demirspor got the better of Hatayspor 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hatayspor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 51% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 49%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.27 to 1.10 — on chances, Hatayspor could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatayspor and 1.00 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 51%, draw 30%, Adana Demirspor 19%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hatayspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Over 2.5
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