Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.75
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.47
X/2
10%
6.96
X/X
12%
4.83
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
12%
5.09
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.49/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.60
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
14.8 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.09.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.04.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
07.11.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
29.02.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor T1L
19.10.2019 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
0-1
AWAY Hatayspor
1.03 xG 0.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 3
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
343 Passes 183
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor edged past Adana Demirspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Adana Demirspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 62% of the ball to Hatayspor's 38%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.03 to 0.20 — on chances, Adana Demirspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.17 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?

Adana Demirspor 0-1 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 46%, draw 26%, Hatayspor 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Adana Demirspor) ✗ Over 2.5
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