Alanyaspor 1-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.32
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
11%
7.8
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.3
2/2
12%
5.92
2/X
5%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.66/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.76
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.7 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pendikspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 0.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
309 Passes 443
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
13.05.2006 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-1
AWAY Pendikspor
1.38 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor and Pendikspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 55% of the ball to Pendikspor's 45%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pendikspor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.00 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Pendikspor?

Alanyaspor 1-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 46%, draw 26%, Pendikspor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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