Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 Nasaf Qarshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 23 Dec 2025

📅23/12/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.22
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.14
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.17
2-3 Goals
36%
2.22
4-5 Goals
28%
2.36
6+ Goals
15%
4.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.33
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
3%
24.85
X/1 EV+ ✓
25%
4.05
X/2
4%
26.5
X/X
6%
11.3
2/1
7%
20.2
2/2
4%
21.35
2/X
3%
29.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.05 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
78%
-2.1pp
13%
Draw
13%
-0.4pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Nasaf Qarshi EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.65/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.86
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -23%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.2 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1-0
AWAY Nasaf Qarshi
1.86 xG 1.05
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
557 Passes 306
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
48 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Nasaf Qarshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah edged past Nasaf Qarshi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 63% of the ball to Nasaf Qarshi's 37%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.86 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Nasaf Qarshi?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 Nasaf Qarshi in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 23/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Nasaf Qarshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 76%, draw 13%, Nasaf Qarshi 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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