Al Sadd 4-2 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 23 Dec 2025

📅23/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.90/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.12
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
248 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
12.1 Crosses 7.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
22.04.2014 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 1-1 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli AŞMP
12.03.2014 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
4-2
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
2.62 xG 1.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
415 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd saw off Shabab Al Ahli 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Sadd had 57% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 43%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.62 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Sadd and 1.00 for Shabab Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Sadd 4-2 Shabab Al Ahli in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 23/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 45%, draw 24%, Shabab Al Ahli 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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