MC Alger 1-0 ES Ben Aknoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 23 Dec 2025

📅23/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.62
Over 2.5
55%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.6
No
50%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
67%
+1.3pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.9pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
58%
-13.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
42%
+13.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
+15.3pp
50%
BTTS No
66%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
1.96/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.19
+34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +29%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
3W-0D-0L
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2024 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 0-3 MC Alger MC Alger CZYRK
20.03.2024 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun 2-3 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
16.09.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 4-0 HT 2-0 ES Ben Aknoun ES Ben Aknoun CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Alger
1-0
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger squeezed past ES Ben Aknoun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MC Alger had 60% of the ball to ES Ben Aknoun's 40%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for MC Alger and 0.67 for ES Ben Aknoun.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun?

MC Alger 1-0 ES Ben Aknoun in the Algeria - 1st Division on 23/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 68%, draw 18%, ES Ben Aknoun 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Over 2.5
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