Mallorca vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mallorca v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-3
HT 4-1
Mallorca
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Girona
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Mallorca
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Mallorca
İS2
Mallorca 3-2 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Mallorca edged past Girona 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Girona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Mallorca had 25% of the ball to Girona's 75%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.33 to 2.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mallorca and 1.50 for Girona.
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Girona?
Mallorca 3-2 Girona in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Girona?
Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 29%, draw 26%, Girona 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.