Irak 3-2 Vietnam SR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.3
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
15%
3.84
X/2
10%
8.78
X/X
8%
4.67
2/1
4%
25.0
2/2
10%
7.21
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vietnam SR EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.23
+93% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Vietnam SR
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
428 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
21.11.2023 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR 0-1 HT 0-0 Irak Irak DKE
08.01.2019 Irak Irak 3-2 HT 1-2 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR ASK
21.07.2007 Irak Irak 2-0 HT 1-0 Vietnam SR Vietnam SR ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
3-2
AWAY Vietnam SR
3.07 xG 0.53
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
490 Passes 252
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
40 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Irak vs Vietnam SR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak squeezed past Vietnam SR 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Irak had 63% of the ball to Vietnam SR's 37%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.07 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Irak's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Irak had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Irak and 0.67 for Vietnam SR.

What was the final score of Irak vs Vietnam SR?

Irak 3-2 Vietnam SR in the Asian Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Vietnam SR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Irak 52%, draw 21%, Vietnam SR 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irak) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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