Japonya 3-1 Endonezya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Asian Cup, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
9.33
2-3 Goals
45%
2.46
4-5 Goals
22%
2.34
6+ Goals
9%
3.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.17
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
9%
34.0
X/1
21%
3.59
X/2
4%
34.0
X/X
4%
15.65
2/1
7%
22.6
2/2
8%
33.0
2/X
8%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.2pp
21%
Draw
11%
+10.1pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
24%
+23.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
76%
-23.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Endonezya EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.76/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.47
+27% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +65%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya
3-1
AWAY Endonezya
2.80 xG 0.35
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
565 Passes 171
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Japonya vs Endonezya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya saw off Endonezya 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Japonya had 71% of the ball to Endonezya's 29%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 2.80 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Japonya vs Endonezya?

Japonya 3-1 Endonezya in the Asian Cup on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya vs Endonezya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Japonya 63%, draw 21%, Endonezya 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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