Ekvador U23 1-1 Venezuela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvador U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador U23
1-1
AWAY Venezuela U23
0.72 xG 1.27
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
331 Passes 232
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ekvador U23 vs Venezuela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador U23 and Venezuela U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ekvador U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ekvador U23 had 58% of the ball to Venezuela U23's 42%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.72 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Ekvador U23 vs Venezuela U23?

Ekvador U23 1-1 Venezuela U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvador U23 vs Venezuela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ekvador U23 42%, draw 25%, Venezuela U23 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ekvador U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ekvador U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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