Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 Cimarrones de Sonora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.70/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.00
+27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cimarrones de Sonora
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
24.08.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 4-2 HT 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
29.03.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 0-1 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
23.07.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 HT 1-0 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
17.02.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 0-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
04.08.2021 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-1 HT 0-1 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora MEK2
04.03.2021 Cimarrones de Sonora Cimarrones de Sonora 2-0 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Cimarrones de Sonora shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cimarrones de Sonora led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.33 for Cimarrones de Sonora.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-2 Cimarrones de Sonora in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 39%, draw 28%, Cimarrones de Sonora 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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