AFC Bournemouth U21 0-3 Derby County U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 24 Jan 2025

AFC Bournemouth U21
0-3 HT 0-1
Derby County U21
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-3 ✗
England - Premier League Cup – 2024/2025

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
Over Pick
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
29%
4-5
38%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.6pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.1pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Bournemouth U21 v Derby County U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County U21 The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Derby County U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
13.09.2024 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 2-3 HT 2-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 İNPLK
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derby County U21 ran out comfortable winners over AFC Bournemouth U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Derby County U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 0-3 Derby County U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 37%, draw 33%, Derby County U21 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNPLK More England - Premier League Cup
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