USM Alger 0-3 MC Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.44
Over
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
39%
1.92
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
15%
6.13
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY MC Alger The Market 32%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +22%
1.02/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.74
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
1W-3D-2L
AWAY MC Alger
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
17.05.2024 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
29.12.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
23.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
20.12.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
16.01.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
13.07.2021 MC Alger MC Alger 2-2 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs MC Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger swept aside USM Alger 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day MC Alger made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for USM Alger and 0.83 for MC Alger.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs MC Alger?

USM Alger 0-3 MC Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs MC Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 37%, draw 29%, MC Alger 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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