MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

MC Alger
1-0 HT 1-0
USM Alger
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

MC Alger vs USM Alger Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.7pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MC Alger v USM Alger — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.52/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.06
+6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
393 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

MC Alger vs USM Alger Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
1W-4D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
23.06.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
20.12.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
16.01.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
13.07.2021 MC Alger MC Alger 2-2 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
26.03.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 2-2 HT 1-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger squeezed past USM Alger 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MC Alger and 1.17 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs USM Alger?

MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 57%, draw 23%, USM Alger 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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17 May 2024
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