MC Oran 4-1 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.51
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.71
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 37% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.5pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Oran EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 18%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.00/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.41
-39% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Oran
3W-1D-2L
AWAY ES Setif
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
04.07.2023 MC Oran MC Oran 3-1 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
29.11.2022 ES Setif ES Setif 4-0 HT 2-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
10.04.2022 ES Setif ES Setif 0-1 HT 0-0 MC Oran MC Oran CZYR
19.11.2021 MC Oran MC Oran 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
13.07.2021 MC Oran MC Oran 4-0 HT 2-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MC Oran
4-1
AWAY ES Setif
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MC Oran vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Oran ran out comfortable winners over ES Setif 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had MC Oran as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MC Oran had 40% of the ball to ES Setif's 60%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Oran had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MC Oran and 1.00 for ES Setif.

What was the final score of MC Oran vs ES Setif?

MC Oran 4-1 ES Setif in the Algeria - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Oran vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split MC Oran 52%, draw 24%, ES Setif 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Oran) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Oran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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