Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.32/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
+27% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 1-2 HT 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
02.02.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-0 HT 1-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1-0
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance nicked a narrow win over Ethiopia Bunna 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 56% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 44%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 2.50 for Ethiopia Bunna.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 45%, draw 26%, Ethiopia Bunna 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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