Thai Port FC 3-3 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.23
Over Pick
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
41%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi The Market 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.61/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.07
-28% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.0 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.07 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-2 HT 1-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
19.05.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-2 HT 1-2 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
06.11.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
09.04.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-2 HT 2-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
11.11.2021 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
3-3
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.49 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
255 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC and Ratchaburi shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Thai Port FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 49% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 51%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.49 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.60 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Ratchaburi?

Thai Port FC 3-3 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 52%, draw 26%, Ratchaburi 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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