Ratchaburi 2-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.86/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.07
-13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.1 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
09.04.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-2 HT 2-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
11.11.2021 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
2-2
AWAY Thai Port FC
2.29 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
360 Passes 392
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi and Thai Port FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Thai Port FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 49% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.29 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.33 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Thai Port FC?

Ratchaburi 2-2 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 35%, draw 24%, Thai Port FC 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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