Khonkaen Utd 5-1 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.6pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 29%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.56/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.78
+81% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.3 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khonkaen Utd
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sukhothai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
304 Passes 184
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.12.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 2-3 HT 2-2 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
29.01.2023 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 2-1 HT 2-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
27.08.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-0 HT 0-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khonkaen Utd
5-1
AWAY Sukhothai
2.05 xG 0.52
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
425 Passes 222
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khonkaen Utd vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khonkaen Utd ran out comfortable winners over Sukhothai 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Khonkaen Utd as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Khonkaen Utd had 63% of the ball to Sukhothai's 37%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.05 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Khonkaen Utd had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Khonkaen Utd and 1.00 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Khonkaen Utd vs Sukhothai?

Khonkaen Utd 5-1 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khonkaen Utd vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khonkaen Utd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Khonkaen Utd 48%, draw 24%, Sukhothai 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khonkaen Utd) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khonkaen Utd) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
19 May 2024
14:00 Nakhon Pathom vs BG Pathum United Analysis →
15:00 Ratchaburi vs Thai Port FC Analysis →